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xen-ppc-devel
Re: [XenPPC] [PATCH] Flush the ERAT early for secondary CPUs
On Fri, Nov 10, 2006 at 03:55:26AM +0100, Segher Boessenkool wrote:
> > p = probability of success = .997 (897 / 900)
> > q = probability of failure = .003 (1.0 - .997)
> > n = number of trials = 2323
> > X = number of successes = 2323
> >
> >Applying these to the binomial probability formula, we get:
> >
> > P(2323) = 2323! / ((2323 - 2323)! * 2323!) * .997**2323 * .003**
> >(2323-2323)
> > = .0009307922
> >
> >So we conclude that the probability that our trials with this patch
> >applied achieved exactly 2323 successes because of chance alone is .
> >0009.
>
> Not prematurely rounding p to a useless precision gives you
>
> p**2323 ~ 0.000428
Sure. I just rounded early because most online tools that people would
use to verify the calculation cannot deal with the higher precion.
> even. And that just calculates the chance that 2323 tries all
> succeed given that the chance for one to succeed is 897/900; it
> doesn't compare two hypotheses at all.
What? The null hypothesis is that this patch has no effect. Since the
probability of observing 2323/2323 successes is .000428, we reject the
null hypothesis under a 95% confidence interval. No?
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